Publications : 2021

Marvel SW, House JS, Wheeler MW, Song K, Zhou Y-H, Wright FA, Chiu WA, Rusyn I, Motsinger-Reif A, Reif DM. 2021. The COVID-19 Pandemic Vulnerability Index (PVI) Dashboard: Monitoring county-level vulnerability using visualization, statistical modeling, and machine learning. Environ Health Perspect 129(1):017701; doi: 10.1289/EHP8690. PMCID: PMC7430608

Abstract

Expert groups have coalesced around a roadmap to address the current COVID-19 pandemic centered on social distancing, monitoring case counts and health care capacity, and, eventually, moving to pharmaceutical interventions. However, responsibility for navigating the pandemic response falls largely on state and local officials. To make equitable decisions on allocating resources, caring for vulnerable subpopulations, and implementing local- and state-level interventions, access to current pandemic data and key vulnerabilities at the community level are essential (). Although numerous predictive models and interactive monitoring applications have been developed using pandemic-related data sets (), their capacity to aid in dynamic, community-level decision-making is limited. We developed the interactive COVID-19 Pandemic Vulnerability Index (PVI) Dashboard (https://covid19pvi.niehs.nih.gov/) to address this need by presenting a visual synthesis of dynamic information at the county level to monitor disease trajectories, communicate local vulnerabilities, forecast key outcomes, and guide informed responses (Figure 1).